Two pitchers with top-10 ERAs match up when Sonny Gray (1.64 ERA) starts for the Minnesota Twins (25-23) against Alex Cobb (1.94) and the San Francisco Giants (23-24) on Tuesday at 7:40 PM ET.
The favored Twins (-140 on the moneyline to win) take the field at home against the Giants (+119). The total for the game is set at 7.5 total runs.
The betting insights in what follows use the latest odds as of May 23, 2023 at 3:24 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Giants Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -140 | +119 | 7.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- This season, the Twins have been favored 24 times and won 15, or 62.5%, of those games.
- Minnesota has a record of 9-8 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -140 on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 58.3% chance of a victory for the Twins.
- Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 18 of 41 opportunities.
- In 41 games with a spread this season, the Twins are 19-22-0 ATS.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.94 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
Giants Betting Insights
- The Giants have been chosen as underdogs in 18 games this year and have walked away with the win nine times (50%) in those games.
- San Francisco has a win-loss record of 4-6 when favored by +119 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Giants have a 45.7% chance of walking away with the win.
- San Francisco and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 18 of its 40 opportunities.
- The Giants are 20-20-0 against the spread in their 40 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Giants Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.41 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Gray
- Gray and his team have a record of 3-4-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in four innings pitched against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday.
- In nine starts this season, Gray has lasted five or more innings eight times, with an average of 5.5 innings per appearance.
- Gray’s team has been victorious in 75% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 3-1.
- Gray’s team has won five of his nine starts.
- Games Gray has started this season hit the over four times in seven chances.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 21 | 20.1 | 22 | 4.87 | 6 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 20 | 21 | 19 | 1.71 | 6 | 3 |
| Jhoan Duran | 17 | 17.2 | 22 | 1.53 | 0 | 7 |
| Emilio Pagán | 15 | 18.2 | 19 | 5.30 | 0 | 0 |
| Jovani Moran | 15 | 19.2 | 22 | 4.58 | 3 | 0 |
Giants Probable Pitcher – Cobb
- Cobb (3-1 with a 1.94 ERA and 44 strikeouts in 51 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Giants, his 10th of the season.
- In his most recent time out on Wednesday, the right-hander tossed 3 1/3 innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, allowing two earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Cobb is trying to collect his seventh start of five or more innings this season in this matchup.
- The Giants have been the moneyline underdog in four of Cobb’s starts this season, and they went 2-2 in those matchups.
- Cobb’s team has a 6-3 record in his starts this season.
- Cobb has started seven contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in one of them.
Giants Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camilo Doval | 22 | 21.2 | 31 | 2.08 | 0 | 12 |
| Tyler Rogers | 20 | 25 | 20 | 2.16 | 9 | 2 |
| John Brebbia | 19 | 20 | 30 | 4.05 | 7 | 0 |
| Scott Alexander | 18 | 17.1 | 9 | 4.67 | 2 | 1 |
| Taylor Rogers | 17 | 14 | 12 | 5.14 | 3 | 1 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins are 24-4 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- Minnesota has put up at least five extra-base hits in 18 games this season, and won each time.
- The team is 29-7 in the games this season it has racked up at least eight hits.
- Minnesota is 29-3 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Twins have drawn five or more walks in 19 games this season, and are 13-6 in those contests.
Giants Hitting Trends
- They are 11-13 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- San Francisco has won five of its 12 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 13-14 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- San Francisco has a 14-12 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 9-5 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Twins vs. Giants Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-140)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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